9: Fast Forward - Futures Thinking and Globalization
- Page ID
- 258089
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\(\newcommand{\avec}{\mathbf a}\) \(\newcommand{\bvec}{\mathbf b}\) \(\newcommand{\cvec}{\mathbf c}\) \(\newcommand{\dvec}{\mathbf d}\) \(\newcommand{\dtil}{\widetilde{\mathbf d}}\) \(\newcommand{\evec}{\mathbf e}\) \(\newcommand{\fvec}{\mathbf f}\) \(\newcommand{\nvec}{\mathbf n}\) \(\newcommand{\pvec}{\mathbf p}\) \(\newcommand{\qvec}{\mathbf q}\) \(\newcommand{\svec}{\mathbf s}\) \(\newcommand{\tvec}{\mathbf t}\) \(\newcommand{\uvec}{\mathbf u}\) \(\newcommand{\vvec}{\mathbf v}\) \(\newcommand{\wvec}{\mathbf w}\) \(\newcommand{\xvec}{\mathbf x}\) \(\newcommand{\yvec}{\mathbf y}\) \(\newcommand{\zvec}{\mathbf z}\) \(\newcommand{\rvec}{\mathbf r}\) \(\newcommand{\mvec}{\mathbf m}\) \(\newcommand{\zerovec}{\mathbf 0}\) \(\newcommand{\onevec}{\mathbf 1}\) \(\newcommand{\real}{\mathbb R}\) \(\newcommand{\twovec}[2]{\left[\begin{array}{r}#1 \\ #2 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\ctwovec}[2]{\left[\begin{array}{c}#1 \\ #2 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\threevec}[3]{\left[\begin{array}{r}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\cthreevec}[3]{\left[\begin{array}{c}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\fourvec}[4]{\left[\begin{array}{r}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \\ #4 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\cfourvec}[4]{\left[\begin{array}{c}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \\ #4 \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\fivevec}[5]{\left[\begin{array}{r}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \\ #4 \\ #5 \\ \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\cfivevec}[5]{\left[\begin{array}{c}#1 \\ #2 \\ #3 \\ #4 \\ #5 \\ \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\mattwo}[4]{\left[\begin{array}{rr}#1 \amp #2 \\ #3 \amp #4 \\ \end{array}\right]}\) \(\newcommand{\laspan}[1]{\text{Span}\{#1\}}\) \(\newcommand{\bcal}{\cal B}\) \(\newcommand{\ccal}{\cal C}\) \(\newcommand{\scal}{\cal S}\) \(\newcommand{\wcal}{\cal W}\) \(\newcommand{\ecal}{\cal E}\) \(\newcommand{\coords}[2]{\left\{#1\right\}_{#2}}\) \(\newcommand{\gray}[1]{\color{gray}{#1}}\) \(\newcommand{\lgray}[1]{\color{lightgray}{#1}}\) \(\newcommand{\rank}{\operatorname{rank}}\) \(\newcommand{\row}{\text{Row}}\) \(\newcommand{\col}{\text{Col}}\) \(\renewcommand{\row}{\text{Row}}\) \(\newcommand{\nul}{\text{Nul}}\) \(\newcommand{\var}{\text{Var}}\) \(\newcommand{\corr}{\text{corr}}\) \(\newcommand{\len}[1]{\left|#1\right|}\) \(\newcommand{\bbar}{\overline{\bvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\bhat}{\widehat{\bvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\bperp}{\bvec^\perp}\) \(\newcommand{\xhat}{\widehat{\xvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\vhat}{\widehat{\vvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\uhat}{\widehat{\uvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\what}{\widehat{\wvec}}\) \(\newcommand{\Sighat}{\widehat{\Sigma}}\) \(\newcommand{\lt}{<}\) \(\newcommand{\gt}{>}\) \(\newcommand{\amp}{&}\) \(\definecolor{fillinmathshade}{gray}{0.9}\)Who Gets to Build the Global Future?
- 9.1: Breaking Up is Hard to Do
- This page discusses the complexities of globalization, noting its non-binary nature and the challenges posed by intertwined global supply chains. It examines how the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions are prompting shifts in production strategies, introducing concepts like reshoring and friend-shoring.
- 9.2: Another Globalization Is Possible
- This page explores the alter-globalization movement, which promotes a just and democratic approach to globalization, emphasizing social justice, human rights, and ecological sustainability. It highlights the role of the World Social Forum in uniting diverse groups to critique globalization's beneficiaries. The page also notes that while resistance movements have globalized, they can inadvertently reinforce inequalities.
- 9.3: Welcome to the Geopolitical Remix
- This page explores the complexities of the global landscape, focusing on the fragmentation of globalization, the rise of multipolarity, and the diverse interests within the Global South. It discusses regionalization's role in economic networks and the strategic interactions of middle powers. The interaction between rival powers amid economic interdependence raises questions about the future of global systems.
- 9.4: The Future Arrived Early
- This page explores the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on work and labor markets, emphasizing task transformation over job replacement. It addresses productivity complexities, benefits distribution, and a new digital divide driven by unequal access to AI technologies. The text also examines the underlying infrastructure and labor of AI systems, linking them to issues of governance and inequality.
- 9.5: Your Global Studies Degree is Not a Job Title
- This page highlights the versatility of a Global Studies degree, focusing on interdisciplinary issues and the importance of systems analysis and intercultural competence. It emphasizes that graduates can pursue various careers requiring analytical and practical skills. The text also discusses the globalization of careers and the significance of networks, correcting the misconception that individuals must solve global issues alone.
- 9.6: Stop Trying to Predict the Future
- This page explores futures thinking, highlighting the existence of multiple potential futures shaped by choices rather than a predetermined path. It distinguishes between probable, plausible, and possible futures and emphasizes the role of scenario thinking in assessing various outcomes. The discussion includes the influence of power dynamics on future visions and underlines the importance of participation in future planning.
- 9.7: Plot Twist- You Are Part of the System
- This page critiques the simplistic view of global citizenship that emphasizes individual responsibility for addressing complex issues like climate change, migration, and AI. It highlights that systemic structures limit individual actions and stresses the need for collective action. The text advocates for understanding one's agency within these constraints and calls for humility in tackling global challenges, encouraging collaborative efforts over individual heroism.
- 9.8: So What did you Learn to See?
- This page highlights the value of analyzing everyday objects and systems through a Global Studies perspective, uncovering their intricate histories and power dynamics. It demonstrates how deeper inquiry enhances understanding of societal outcomes influenced by decisions and structures.
- 9.9: Discussion
- This page explores the transformative nature of globalization, highlighting trends such as geopolitical fragmentation and AI that emphasize continued interdependence. It discusses alter-globalization, governance considerations, and the influence of power dynamics on technological change. The chapter distinguishes between individual and structural responsibilities, suggesting the need for collective action on certain issues.
- 9.10: Assignments
- This page outlines three assignments for analyzing global issues: 1) "The Global Autopsy, Revisited," which examines the historical and contextual layers of an everyday object or activity; 2) "Build a Global Futures Scenario," envisioning a 2040 scenario about a global issue; and 3) "Where Is Your Leverage?" that focuses on mapping power dynamics and identifying influential actors and risks within a chosen topic.
- 9.11: Key Terms
- This page defines essential terms associated with globalization and international relations, including agency, alter-globalization, BRICS, and deglobalization. It discusses supply chain shifts through concepts like friend-shoring and nearshoring, while addressing global governance and multipolarity concerning international power structures. Approaches such as futures thinking and systems thinking are also described for analyzing complex global scenarios.
- 9.12: References
- This page provides a list of works cited in the textbook, focusing on globalization, technology, labor, advocacy, and justice. Key authors like Baldwin, Rodrik, and Steger analyze the interplay between economic systems, democracy, and social movements. The references address contemporary global issues, emphasizing generative AI's impact on the job market and the dynamics of a unipolar world, underlining the importance of activism and justice in today's context.


