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9: Fast Forward - Futures Thinking and Globalization

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    Who Gets to Build the Global Future?

    A futuristic hallway
    Figure \(\PageIndex{1}\): Hallway into the future. (Photo by Tom Parkes on Unsplash)

    Globalization is dead.

    Again.

    Apparently.

    For decades, globalization has been declared inevitable, unstoppable, finished, revived, broken, transformed, and occasionally blamed for almost everything happening on Earth. Depending on whom you ask, we are entering a borderless future, retreating into nationalism, splitting into rival geopolitical blocs, surrendering our jobs to artificial intelligence, building a multipolar world, or somehow doing all of these things at once.

    And strangely enough, that last possibility may be closest to the truth.

    Globalization was never a single machine moving steadily in one direction. It has always been a collection of overlapping processes through which goods, money, people, ideas, technologies, diseases, environmental pressures, political movements, and cultural practices move across space. Those processes do not necessarily accelerate together. Trade can fragment while digital communication expands. Governments can tighten borders while businesses recruit workers internationally. States can subsidize domestic semiconductor production while remaining dependent on minerals extracted thousands of miles away. Nationalist politicians can denounce globalization from smartphones assembled through global supply chains.

    In other words, the global future is unlikely to be simply more globalization or less globalization.

    It is likely to be stranger.

    Recent evidence already points in that direction. The World Trade Organization has documented growing fragmentation between geopolitical blocs, including renewed divergence in trade patterns associated with U.S.-China tensions, while simultaneously emphasizing that international trade remains deeply embedded in the global economy (WTO, 2026). The International Monetary Fund likewise describes geopolitical fragmentation, trade tensions, technological transformation, conflict, and economic interdependence as forces operating simultaneously rather than sequentially (IMF, 2026).

    That makes our final chapter less a prediction exercise than a question of possibility, power, and choice.

    Who gets to shape what comes next?

    Governments?

    Corporations?

    Workers?

    Social movements?

    Artificial intelligence companies?

    Communities already dealing with the environmental consequences of decisions made somewhere else?

    People who have historically been excluded from the institutions writing global rules?

    And where exactly do you fit into this?

    Throughout this book, we have followed globalization through history, culture, economics, political power, health, environmental change, mobility, food, gender, technology, and everyday life. At almost every stop, the same lesson kept resurfacing: global systems create connections, but connections do not automatically create equality. Who moves and who cannot, who profits and who pays, whose knowledge becomes authoritative, whose labor disappears into a supply chain, whose culture travels easily, and whose passport opens doors have never been random details. They are part of how globalization works.

    The future will be no different.

    Except now you know what to look for.

    • 9.1: Breaking Up is Hard to Do
      This page discusses the complexities of globalization, noting its non-binary nature and the challenges posed by intertwined global supply chains. It examines how the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions are prompting shifts in production strategies, introducing concepts like reshoring and friend-shoring.
    • 9.2: Another Globalization Is Possible
      This page explores the alter-globalization movement, which promotes a just and democratic approach to globalization, emphasizing social justice, human rights, and ecological sustainability. It highlights the role of the World Social Forum in uniting diverse groups to critique globalization's beneficiaries. The page also notes that while resistance movements have globalized, they can inadvertently reinforce inequalities.
    • 9.3: Welcome to the Geopolitical Remix
      This page explores the complexities of the global landscape, focusing on the fragmentation of globalization, the rise of multipolarity, and the diverse interests within the Global South. It discusses regionalization's role in economic networks and the strategic interactions of middle powers. The interaction between rival powers amid economic interdependence raises questions about the future of global systems.
    • 9.4: The Future Arrived Early
      This page explores the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on work and labor markets, emphasizing task transformation over job replacement. It addresses productivity complexities, benefits distribution, and a new digital divide driven by unequal access to AI technologies. The text also examines the underlying infrastructure and labor of AI systems, linking them to issues of governance and inequality.
    • 9.5: Your Global Studies Degree is Not a Job Title
      This page highlights the versatility of a Global Studies degree, focusing on interdisciplinary issues and the importance of systems analysis and intercultural competence. It emphasizes that graduates can pursue various careers requiring analytical and practical skills. The text also discusses the globalization of careers and the significance of networks, correcting the misconception that individuals must solve global issues alone.
    • 9.6: Stop Trying to Predict the Future
      This page explores futures thinking, highlighting the existence of multiple potential futures shaped by choices rather than a predetermined path. It distinguishes between probable, plausible, and possible futures and emphasizes the role of scenario thinking in assessing various outcomes. The discussion includes the influence of power dynamics on future visions and underlines the importance of participation in future planning.
    • 9.7: Plot Twist- You Are Part of the System
      This page critiques the simplistic view of global citizenship that emphasizes individual responsibility for addressing complex issues like climate change, migration, and AI. It highlights that systemic structures limit individual actions and stresses the need for collective action. The text advocates for understanding one's agency within these constraints and calls for humility in tackling global challenges, encouraging collaborative efforts over individual heroism.
    • 9.8: So What did you Learn to See?
      This page highlights the value of analyzing everyday objects and systems through a Global Studies perspective, uncovering their intricate histories and power dynamics. It demonstrates how deeper inquiry enhances understanding of societal outcomes influenced by decisions and structures.
    • 9.9: Discussion
      This page explores the transformative nature of globalization, highlighting trends such as geopolitical fragmentation and AI that emphasize continued interdependence. It discusses alter-globalization, governance considerations, and the influence of power dynamics on technological change. The chapter distinguishes between individual and structural responsibilities, suggesting the need for collective action on certain issues.
    • 9.10: Assignments
      This page outlines three assignments for analyzing global issues: 1) "The Global Autopsy, Revisited," which examines the historical and contextual layers of an everyday object or activity; 2) "Build a Global Futures Scenario," envisioning a 2040 scenario about a global issue; and 3) "Where Is Your Leverage?" that focuses on mapping power dynamics and identifying influential actors and risks within a chosen topic.
    • 9.11: Key Terms
      This page defines essential terms associated with globalization and international relations, including agency, alter-globalization, BRICS, and deglobalization. It discusses supply chain shifts through concepts like friend-shoring and nearshoring, while addressing global governance and multipolarity concerning international power structures. Approaches such as futures thinking and systems thinking are also described for analyzing complex global scenarios.
    • 9.12: References
      This page provides a list of works cited in the textbook, focusing on globalization, technology, labor, advocacy, and justice. Key authors like Baldwin, Rodrik, and Steger analyze the interplay between economic systems, democracy, and social movements. The references address contemporary global issues, emphasizing generative AI's impact on the job market and the dynamics of a unipolar world, underlining the importance of activism and justice in today's context.


    This page titled 9: Fast Forward - Futures Thinking and Globalization was last modified on Sat, 19 Sep 2026 12:32:44 GMT and is shared under a CC BY-NC 4.0 license and was authored, remixed, and/or curated by Miloni Gandhi.

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